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Avalanche Advisory for 2014-01-18 06:30:31
- EXPIRED ON January 19, 2014 @ 6:30 amPublished on January 18, 2014 @ 6:30 am
- Issued by Nick Meyers - Shasta-Trinity National Forest
Bottom Line
For all snow clad aspects above 10,000 ft. on Mt Shasta, the avalanche danger is LOW and normal caution is advised. Lack of snow on other aspects/elevations make the avalanche danger absent.
Rockfall is still a hazard on Mt. Shasta until we receive significant snow. Climbing is not recommended on select routes. Be sure to check the climbing advisory or call the ranger station for details if you still choose to climb.
Avalanche Problem 1: Normal Caution
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The avalanche danger on Mt Shasta's glaciers and all other areas hosting snow is LOW. Normal caution advised. Skiing on the glaciers at this time is rough and icy. Be cautious of open bergshrunds, crevasses, ice patches, and rock/ice fall. Self arrest may be difficult with current conditions. Always keep an eye and ear out for rock fall.
Other skiable areas host variable snow textures. Normal caution advised.
Recent Observations
A few tracks were observed on the road in the Sand Flat winter trails area yesterday. While someone could potentially scoot around on cross-country skis in that area, the snow pack is THIN! Rocks and dirt will be encountered and with the above freezing temps due to inversions we've been seeing, the snow won't last long!
Above Bunny Flat along the trail to Horse Camp, a couple inches of snow covered the trail.
I havn't heard how the ice skating has been...mountain biking though, good!
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A couple local boys got after it on 1-16 and were able to find some turns in Cascade Gulch! They quoted the adventure as, "Fairly smooth, chalky snow..." and, "Pretty fun day actually..."! They proved that skiing is not just limited to the glaciers, but possible in a few of Shasta's gullies that are filled in. They began their ski from the Shasta/Shastina saddle and were able to ski to Hidden Valley. The two had to de-ski only a few times for short rock sections. One must walk from Bunny Flat to Hidden Valley.
Otherwise, sunny skies and high pressure continues, a bit of a broken record these days! The area received no new snow over the week and recreation without snow is still the soup de jour.
Photo: Chris Carr
Photo: Chris Carr
Photo: Chris Carr
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All trailheads are still accessible by vehicle. Be cautious of any overnight trips on the mountain with snow involved. Storms can easily dump large amounts of snow to the area and make it difficult to drive off the mountain! While Northgate, Brewer Ck and Clear Ck trailheads are officially closed, the bathrooms are still open with packout bags inside, and one can still access the Mt Shasta Wilderness. However, your summit pass and wilderness permits must be purchased at McCloud or Mt Shasta Ranger Stations. NO DOGS are allowed in the Mt Shasta Wilderness OR Sierra Club Property. Thanks!
Beyond the gate at Bunny Flat and the Sand Flat Winter Trails, we have 3 inches of new snow on a hard road surface! A few cross-country skiers went out yesterday. With the sunny and clear weather expected, most of this snow will likely melt of quickly.
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Below are a few aerial pictures taken during the middle of December. Conditions look much the same currently.
Aerial photo of the South side of Mt. Shasta, taken 12-18-13. (Photo: H Meyers)
The North Side of Mt. Shasta with the Hotlam Glacier in center, Hotlam/Wintun ridge left, Shastina to the far right. Taken 12-18-13. (Photo: H Meyers)
The East side of Mt. Shasta, taken 12-18-13 (Photo: H Meyers)
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Terrain: Remember most of the terrain that we like to play on is greater than 30 degrees. Avalanches are possible on anything steeper than 30 degrees. Avoid cornices, rock bands, terrain traps and runout zones of avalanche paths.
Weather: Most of our areas avalanche danger will occur 24-48 hours after a storm. We still can see persistent weak layers from time to time and we always will be sure to let you know about that! Heed the basic signs: Wind (significant snow transport and depositions), Temperature (rain/snow/rain/snow, which in turn weakens the snowpack), and Precipitation (Snow or rain add weight and stress to the current snowpack).
Snowpack: If snow accumulates, give the snowpack a chance to adjust to the new snow load before you play on or near steep slopes (greater than 30 degrees). Most direct action avalanches occur within 24-48 hours of recent snowfall. Watch for obvious signs of snowpack instability such as recent natural avalanche activity, collapsing of the snowpack (often associated with a “whumphing” sound), and shooting cracks. If you see these signs of instability, limit your recreation to lower angle slopes.
Human Factor: Don’t forget to carry and know how to use avalanche rescue gear. You should NOT be skiing or climbing potential avalanche slopes without having beacons, shovels, and probes. Only one person in a group should be exposed to potential avalanche danger at a time. Remember, climbing, skiing, and riding down the edge of slopes is safer than being in the center. Just because another person is on a slope doesn’t mean that it is safe. Be an individual! Make your own decisions. Heed the signs of instability: rapid warming, “whumphing” noises, shooting cracks, snowing an inch an hour or more, rain, roller balls, wind loading, recent avalanche activity.
Weather and Current Conditions
Weather Summary
In Mt Shasta City this morning at 0500, we have clear skies and an inversion in place with a current temperature of 30 F.
On Mt Shasta (South Side) in the last 24 hours...
Old Ski Bowl - 7,600 feet, we have no new snow with a snow depth total of up to 5 inches at best in more shaded areas. The current temperature is 41F with a low of 41F and a high of 56F.
Gray Butte - 8,000 feet, the current temperature is 42F. Temps have ranged from a low of 42F to a high 50F. Winds have averaged 13mph with gusts to 28mph, east/southeast in nature.
Castle Lake and Mt Eddy (West side of I-5)...
Castle Lake - 5,600 feet, the current temperature is 44F with a low of 42F and a high of 54F. Castle Lake has no new snow with a current snowpack of 0-3 inches in more shaded areas and/or northerly aspects.
Mt Eddy - 6,500 feet, the current temperature is 37F with a low of 36F and a high of 55F. Mt Eddy received no of new snow and the snow depth total is 0-3 inches. Winds have averaged 3 mph with gusts to 6 mph and west/southwest in nature.
THIS SEASON: Since September 1st (the wet season), we have received 2.97 inches of water, normal is 19.93 inches, putting us at 14% of normal. For the month of January, Mt Shasta has received 0.15 inches of water with normal being 4.05 inches. For the year 2014, Mt Shasta has received 0.15 inches of water, normal is 4.05 inches, which puts us at 3% of normal.
Mt Shasta finished off 2013 with exactly 10.00 inches of water, normal is 43.21", putting us at a meager 23% of normal. Let it be known that a DESERT is classified as an area that receives 10 inches of water or less per year.
December 2012 was wetter than the entire 2013 calendar year (10.43"). WOW!
WEATHER SYNOPSIS:
Clear nights and sunny days with little day to day change will take us all the way through the middle of next week. Winds look calm and inversions/fog will continue. I wish I had more for you! Have a great day.
0600 temperature: | 41 |
Max. temperature in the last 24 hours: | 56 |
Average wind direction during the last 24 hours: | East/Northeast |
Average wind speed during the last 24 hours: | 13 mi/hr |
Maximum wind gust in the last 24 hours: | 28 mi/hr |
New snowfall in the last 24 hours: | 0 inches |
Total snow depth: | 0-5 inches |
Two Day Mountain Weather Forecast
Produced in partnership with the Medford NWS
For 7000 ft to 9000 ft | |||
---|---|---|---|
Saturday (4 a.m. to 10 p.m.) |
Saturday Night (10 p.m. to 4 a.m.) |
Sunday (4 a.m. to 10 p.m.) |
|
Weather | Sunny | Clear | Sunny |
Temperature (°F) | 52 | 31 | 49 |
Wind (mi/hr) | Northeast 5-10mph | Southeast 5-10mph | South/southeast 5-10mph |
Precipitation SWE / Snowfall (in) | / 0 | / 0 | / 0 |
For 9000 ft to 11000 ft | |||
Saturday | Saturday Night | Sunday | |
Weather | Sunny | Clear | Sunny |
Temperature (°F) | 48 | 32 | 45 |
Wind (mi/hr) | South 10-20mph | South 0 | West 10-20mph |
Precipitation SWE / Snowfall (in) | / 0 | / 0 | / 0 |