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Avalanche Advisory for 2014-01-24 07:06:10
- EXPIRED ON January 25, 2014 @ 7:06 amPublished on January 24, 2014 @ 7:06 am
- Issued by Nick Meyers - Shasta-Trinity National Forest
Bottom Line
The avalanche danger is LOW and normal caution is advised for all areas hosting snow on Mt Shasta. Lack of snow on other aspects/elevations make the avalanche danger absent.
Rockfall is still a hazard on Mt. Shasta until we receive significant snow. Climbing is not recommended on select routes. Be sure to check the climbing advisory or call the ranger station for details if you still choose to climb.
Avalanche Problem 1: Normal Caution
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The avalanche danger on Mt Shasta's glaciers and all other areas hosting snow is LOW. Normal caution advised. Skiing on the glaciers at this time is rough and icy. Be cautious of open bergshrunds, crevasses, ice patches, and rock/ice fall. Self arrest may be difficult with current conditions. Always keep an eye and ear out for rock fall.
Other skiable areas host variable snow textures. Normal caution advised. If you find yourself climbing or skiing one of the many skinny, snow-filled gullies...keep in mind that these gullies can host much more rockfall than open slopes as they act like a funnel for any loose rocks descending the mountain. Such was the case with our New Years Day accident in Avalanche Gulch, right of The Heart. We don't call it the "bowling alley" just because.... WEAR A HELMET PROPERLY - That is, fit snugly to your head with the front of the helmet directly over your eyebrow line.
Recent Observations
Another beautful week in Northern California with no new snow and continued sunny weather has kept mountain bikes in action. Hoping and praying for winter in these desperate times.
"Yesterday is not ours ro recover, but tomorrow is ours to win or lose." Fight the good fight!
DONT FORGET,
THE SNOW BALL IS TOMORROW!! Come dance, eat, and drink your lack of winter blues away! A fundraiser for the MSAC. 6:30pm, Mt Shasta City Park, all ages, $20 bones, Live Music by World's Finest, awesome raffle, silent auctions. Let's GO!
(NEVER, Drink & Drive)
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A couple local boys got after it on [1-16] and were able to find some turns in Cascade Gulch! They quoted the adventure as, "Fairly smooth, chalky snow..." and, "Pretty fun day actually..."! They proved that skiing is not just limited to the glaciers, but possible in a few of Shasta's gullies that are filled in. They began their ski from the Shasta/Shastina saddle and were able to ski to Hidden Valley. The two had to de-ski only a few times for short rock sections. One must walk from Bunny Flat to Hidden Valley.
Otherwise, sunny skies and high pressure continues, a bit of a broken record these days! The area received no new snow over the week and recreation without snow is still the soup de jour.
Photo: Chris Carr
Photo: Chris Carr
Photo: Chris Carr
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All trailheads are still accessible by vehicle. Be cautious of any overnight trips on the mountain with snow involved. Storms can easily dump large amounts of snow to the area and make it difficult to drive off the mountain! While Northgate, Brewer Ck and Clear Ck trailheads are officially closed, the bathrooms are still open with packout bags inside, and one can still access the Mt Shasta Wilderness. However, your summit pass and wilderness permits must be purchased at McCloud or Mt Shasta Ranger Stations. NO DOGS are allowed in the Mt Shasta Wilderness OR Sierra Club Property. Thanks!
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Below are a few aerial pictures taken during the middle of December. Conditions look much the same currently.
Aerial photo of the South side of Mt. Shasta, taken 12-18-13. (Photo: H Meyers)
The North Side of Mt. Shasta with the Hotlam Glacier in center, Hotlam/Wintun ridge left, Shastina to the far right. Taken 12-18-13. (Photo: H Meyers)
The East side of Mt. Shasta, taken 12-18-13 (Photo: H Meyers)
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Terrain: Remember most of the terrain that we like to play on is greater than 30 degrees. Avalanches are possible on anything steeper than 30 degrees. Avoid cornices, rock bands, terrain traps and runout zones of avalanche paths.
Weather: Most of our areas avalanche danger will occur 24-48 hours after a storm. We still can see persistent weak layers from time to time and we always will be sure to let you know about that! Heed the basic signs: Wind (significant snow transport and depositions), Temperature (rain/snow/rain/snow, which in turn weakens the snowpack), and Precipitation (Snow or rain add weight and stress to the current snowpack).
Snowpack: If snow accumulates, give the snowpack a chance to adjust to the new snow load before you play on or near steep slopes (greater than 30 degrees). Most direct action avalanches occur within 24-48 hours of recent snowfall. Watch for obvious signs of snowpack instability such as recent natural avalanche activity, collapsing of the snowpack (often associated with a “whumphing” sound), and shooting cracks. If you see these signs of instability, limit your recreation to lower angle slopes.
Human Factor: Don’t forget to carry and know how to use avalanche rescue gear. You should NOT be skiing or climbing potential avalanche slopes without having beacons, shovels, and probes. Only one person in a group should be exposed to potential avalanche danger at a time. Remember, climbing, skiing, and riding down the edge of slopes is safer than being in the center. Just because another person is on a slope doesn’t mean that it is safe. Be an individual! Make your own decisions. Heed the signs of instability: rapid warming, “whumphing” noises, shooting cracks, snowing an inch an hour or more, rain, roller balls, wind loading, recent avalanche activity.
Weather and Current Conditions
Weather Summary
In Mt Shasta City this morning at 0500, we have clear skies and balmy current temperature of 46 F.
On Mt Shasta (South Side) in the last 24 hours...
Old Ski Bowl - 7,600 feet, we have no new snow with a snow depth total of up to 5 inches at best in shaded pockets. The current temperature is 30F with a low of 29F and a high of 38F.
Gray Butte - 8,000 feet, the current temperature is 28F. Temps have ranged from a low of 27F to a high 34F. Winds have averaged 40mph with gusts to 70mph, all from the east.
Castle Lake and Mt Eddy (West side of I-5)...
Castle Lake - 5,600 feet, the current temperature is 33F with a low of 31F and a high of 42F. Castle Lake has no new snow with a current snowpack of 0-5 inches in more shaded areas and/or northerly aspects.
Mt Eddy - 6,500 feet, the current temperature is 30F with a low of 28F and a high of 39F. Mt Eddy received no of new snow and the snow depth total is 0-5 inches. Winds have averaged 10 mph with gusts to 14 mph, southwest.
THIS SEASON: Since September 1st (the wet season), we have received 2.97 inches of water, normal is 21.24 inches, putting us at 7% of normal. For the month of January, Mt Shasta has received 0.15 inches of water with normal being 5.36 inches. For the year 2014, Mt Shasta has received 0.15 inches of water, normal is 5.36 inches, which puts us at 2% of normal.
Mt Shasta finished off 2013 with exactly 10.00 inches of water, normal is 43.21", putting us at a meager 23% of normal. Let it be known that a DESERT is classified as an area that receives 10 inches of water or less per year.
December 2012 was wetter than the entire 2013 calendar year (10.43"). WOW!
WEATHER SYNOPSIS:
"Confidence in a pattern change with uncertainty" is what I've gathered this morning regarding next weeks chance of WINTER! Ha! Based on the blocking high pressure that has been extremely resilient all winter long, nobody is getting excited yet for actual heavy precip. That being said, there are indications from models that a gradual breakdown of the high pressure ridge will begin next week. Thursday a digging trough may nudge it's way into the area. Conflicting models and of course, uncertainty are dominating at this point. We'll just have to wait and see! Your tired of waiting, you say? I understand. It's going to be okay. Just think, your new winter play toys you bought will be new all over again next year! Not funny, sorry.
Sunny and sunny for the weekend. Ride it!
0600 temperature: | 30 |
Max. temperature in the last 24 hours: | 38 |
Average wind direction during the last 24 hours: | East |
Average wind speed during the last 24 hours: | 40 mi/hr |
Maximum wind gust in the last 24 hours: | 71 mi/hr |
New snowfall in the last 24 hours: | 0 inches |
Total snow depth: | 0-5 inches |
Two Day Mountain Weather Forecast
Produced in partnership with the Medford NWS
For 7000 ft to 9000 ft | |||
---|---|---|---|
Friday (4 a.m. to 10 p.m.) |
Friday Night (10 p.m. to 4 a.m.) |
Saturday (4 a.m. to 10 p.m.) |
|
Weather | Sunny | Clear | Sunny |
Temperature (°F) | 45 | 29 | 47 |
Wind (mi/hr) | Southeast 15-20mph | Southeast 15-20mph | Southeast 5-10mph |
Precipitation SWE / Snowfall (in) | / 0 | / 0 | / 0 |
For 9000 ft to 11000 ft | |||
Friday | Friday Night | Saturday | |
Weather | Sunny | Clear | Sunny |
Temperature (°F) | 41 | 28 | 43 |
Wind (mi/hr) | South/Southeast 30-40mph with gusts higher | South 0 | South 5-10mph |
Precipitation SWE / Snowfall (in) | / 0 | / 0 | / 0 |