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Avalanche Forecast for 2019-01-25 06:07
- EXPIRED ON January 26, 2019 @ 6:07 amPublished on January 25, 2019 @ 6:07 am
- Issued by Nick Meyers - Shasta-Trinity National Forest
Bottom Line
The avalanche danger is LOW for all elevations and aspects. Exercise normal caution. Bring an ice axe, crampons, and a helmet if venturing above treeline. Scoured, icy slopes present slide for life conditions.
Avalanche Problem 1: Normal Caution
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Character ?
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Aspect/Elevation ?
Exercise normal caution in the backcountry:
- Carry a beacon, shovel, and probe and know how to use them.
- Create a travel plan; stick to your travel plan.
- Actively look for evidence of instability while on the snow such as fresh wind slabs or unstable cornices.
- Communicate well within your group. Expose only one person at a time to avalanche terrain.
Forecast Discussion
It's variable out there folks. Very nice, spring-like conditions have been found as well as many other forms of riding surfaces reserved for the courageous. In the alpine regions, scoured, icy slopes present slide for life conditions. An ice axe, crampons, and helmet are a very good idea, but realize that self-arrest will be difficult.
Nothing but clear skies coming at you! Check out the NOAA Climate Prediction Center weather outlooks for the remainder of the season.
Recent Observations
Temperatures have ranged from 33 to 44 degrees F in the last 24 hours near 7,600 feet. Winds have died off, averaging 4 mi/hr, gusting up to 20 mi/hr. Height of snow (HS) at 7,600 feet is 254 cm (100 in).
Below treeline, it is rough with rain runnels and frozen, breakable and lumpy snow surfaces dominating. Near treeline, transitional snow surfaces will be encountered as rain runnels dissipate and wind blown and sometimes breakable snow forms begin. Above treeline, firm conditions with icy ridgelines and morain tops, variable sastrugi formations and perhaps a bit of soft snow in the gullies can be found. Southerly facing, sunny slopes have been hosting supportable and decent corn snow.
No avalanches or signs of instability have been observed since last weekend.
Weather and Current Conditions
Weather Summary
There will not be much change in the weather pattern that will sustain through the start of next week. An upper level ridge builds over the area, keeping things sunny and dry. Low clouds and fog in the late evening into the morning hours is likely. Daytime high temperatures will be warming, with light winds. A pattern change is possible mid-late next week as a Pacific system tries to break through the ridge. Specifics are still being sorted out at this time.
24 Hour Weather Station Data @ 3:00 AM
| Weather Station | Temp (°F) | Wind (mi/hr) | Snow (in) | Comments | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cur | Min | Max | Avg | Avg | Max Gust | Dir | Depth | New | Water Equivalent | Settlement | ||
| Mt. Shasta City (3540 ft) | 31 | 31 | 48 | 39.5 | 1 | N | ||||||
| Sand Flat (6750 ft) | 27 | 25 | 43 | 31 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Ski Bowl (7600 ft) | 35.5 | 32 | 45.5 | 38.5 | 99 | 0 | 0 | 1 | ||||
| Gray Butte (8000 ft) | 38 | 33.5 | 44.5 | 39.5 | 4 | 37 | ENE | |||||
| Castle Lake (5870 ft) | ||||||||||||
| Mount Eddy (6509 ft) | 40.5 | 32 | 43.5 | 38 | 2 | 10 | WSW | 74 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Ash Creek Bowl (7250 ft) | ||||||||||||
| Ash Creek Ridge (7895 ft) |
Two Day Mountain Weather Forecast
Produced in partnership with the Medford NWS
| For 7000 ft to 9000 ft | |||
|---|---|---|---|
|
Friday (4 a.m. to 10 p.m.) |
Friday Night (10 p.m. to 4 a.m.) |
Saturday (4 a.m. to 10 p.m.) |
|
| Weather | Sunny | Clear | Sunny |
| Temperature (°F) | 48 | 30 | 50 |
| Wind (mi/hr) | North 5-10 | Northeast 5-10 | Northeast 0-5 |
| Precipitation SWE / Snowfall (in) | / 0 | / 0 | / 0 |
| For 9000 ft to 11000 ft | |||
| Friday | Friday Night | Saturday | |
| Weather | Sunny and breezy | Clear and breezy | Sunny |
| Temperature (°F) | 34 | 34 | 41 |
| Wind (mi/hr) | North 10-15 | Northeast 0 | North 0-5 |
| Precipitation SWE / Snowfall (in) | / 0 | / 0 | / 0 |
Season Precipitation for Mount Shasta City
| Period | Measured (in) | Normal (in) | Percent of Normal (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| From Oct 1, 2024 (the wet season) | 13.93 | 20.79 | 67 |
| Month to Date (since Dec 1, 2024) | 5.52 | 5.58 | 99 |
| Year to Date (since Jan 1, 2024) | 5.52 | 5.58 | 99 |
